Strategies in Our Control and Scenarios Outside Our Control

While many startups have already done brutal layoffs and expense cutting, there’s still the same amount of uncertainty, if not more, in the world. Sequoia Capital has an excellent post up titled The Matrix for COVID-19 with a visual way to think through potential strategies in the control of the entrepreneur vs macro scenarios outside the control of the entrepreneur.

Entrepreneurs generally have a strong locus of control and extreme uncertainty exacerbates the desire to control things. The best course of action? Develop multiple plans to address potential scenarios. In the example matrix above, it references three scenarios with lockdowns ranging from three months to 12 months along with three plans range from no change in operating expenses to cutting operating expenses by 25%. For many startups, cutting expenses by 25% won’t be enough, and a more aggressive plan is necessary.

Entrepreneurs should develop multiple plans under different scenarios and do their best to control what they can control.

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