Blog

  • Growth Drives Value for SaaS Companies

    Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) is hot. White hot. In fact, it’s been hot for several years now. Marketo, which IPO’d recently, now has a market capitalization of $1.23 billion (NASDAQ:MKTO), even after Salesforce.com bought ExactTarget / Pardot. With Marketo’s most recent quarterly revenue results of $22.5 million (extrapolated to $90 million annually), the stock is now trading at north of 13x revenue (not counting assets and liabilities). The big driver of SaaS value is growth and with a 62% growth rate, the market loves Marketo. Is the stock overvalued in the short-term? Absolutely. Long-term? No, as long as it can keep its growth rate up for several more years and withstand Salesforce.com’s entrance into the market.

    Now, let’s look at NetSuite. NetSuite is at its all-time high with a market capitalization of $7.35 billion (NYSE:N). Based on last quarter’s revenue of $101 million, extrapolated to $404 million annually, the stock is trading at north of 18x revenue (not counting assets and liabilities). Take out a few turns of the multiple for the Oracle premium on NetSuite, and you still have a massive multiple. What gives? NetSuite grew 35% year-over-year and shows no signs of slowing down. The markets love growth.

    As long as the leading SaaS companies continue to post impressive growth rates, look for a market premium unlike many other industries. SaaS entrepreneurs take note: growth rates drive valuation.

    What else? How long do you think the leading SaaS companies will continue to get a large premium for growth?

  • Comparing the Commercial Real Estate and Software Businesses

    For years I had wanted to buy a building for my company but it never made sense. Owning a building for a startup is like buying a fish tank for a goldfish — it’ll grow to the optimal size for the tank and no more. Startups, by their very nature, are growth-focused (see PG’s essay Startup = Growth), thus size and lease terms need to be as flexible as possible.

    Now that I’ve been in the commercial real estate business for six months with the Atlanta Tech Village, I have a few initial thoughts on how it differs from the software business. Here goes:

    • Software has infinite inventory and little marginal cost for each additional sale while commercial real estate is extremely fixed both in available space and costs
    • Real estate has many more nuances and opportunities related to depreciation, tax credits, and other items that you can tell lobbyists help put in place (e.g. put in cheap and expensive lights in the same room as a workaround so you can depreciate the more expensive ones significantly faster)
    • People-wise, commercial real estate is more fun due to the in-person customer relationships compared to software, which is mostly virtual
    • Software is much riskier with the opportunity to go out of business or go big much more likely than commercial real estate

    Overall, commercial real estate has been more fun than I expected, but in the end, I enjoy software more.

    What else? What are some other thoughts comparing the commercial real estate and software businesses?

  • Startups Need to Cross-10 Out of the Gate

    PandoDaily has a new post up today titled Seven dirty, gritty, real startup lessons that cost me $2 million by entrepreneur Pablo Fuentes where he offers some solid advice. My favorite of the seven ideas is that of Cross-10. Cross-10 is pretty straightforward: manually deliver the value of your product to 10 different customers by hand. For example, if you want to build software to do text message marketing for small businesses, get 10 small businesses to pay you to do a campaign manually on their behalf before you jump in and start building a product. As Steve Blank likes to say, get out of the building.

    Here are a few ideas around the benefits of Cross-10:

    • Getting a prospect to pay to money is incredibly hard, so doing it before product development helps improve the likelihood of success
    • It’s never too early to solicit input from potential customers
    • Most entrepreneurs build a product in a vacuum and fail (see my failure with eCrowds)
    • Sales and marketing is often more difficult and expensive than engineering, so start with the toughest thing first

    The goal of Cross-10 is to find out if the dogs will eat the dogfood before you’ve invested significant time and energy in a product. When you’re going to jump in and start your next venture, do Cross-10 right out of the gate.

    What else? What are your thoughts on startups doing Cross-10 as their first task?

  • Tech100 Talent Idea: $100k Salaries for Top 100 GA Tech Undergrads

    A few months ago I heard that somewhere in the neighborhood of 55% GA Tech graduates stay and work in Atlanta within five years of graduation. Now, that might sound like a solid number, but that leaves a tremendous amount of talent that moves out of Atlanta and adds to the talent pool of other cities. Combine the talent from GA Tech with the desire to get more GA Tech students involved in startups, and there’s a big opportunity for Atlanta.

    Here’s a modest proposal: provide $100,000 salary job offers to the top 100 engineering and computer science majors each year to work for a startup in Atlanta. Call it the Tech100.

    Of course, it’s more complicated than that. Let’s look at a few of the potential details:

    • The top 100 undergraduate students would be defined by GPA (e.g. if there are 20 different majors, it would be for the top five students in each major). Yes, there are other things to look at besides GPA, but that’s an easy place to start.
    • Many of the top students will go on to grad school or professional school, and aren’t interested in working, significantly reducing the number of students to which this applies
    • Current entry-level technical people make $55,000 – $70,000 in Atlanta as software engineers, sales engineers, technical project managers, etc, so there’s a $35k gap between $65k and $100k
    • Something like the excellent Orr Entrepreneurial Fellowship found in Indiana would have to be created to subsidize the salary difference for startups between market-rate salaries and the $100k salary along with a management training-like program where the Tech100 meet regularly, listen to guest speakers, and gain exposure to everything Atlanta has to offer.
    • Timing wise, it would be a two year program with a celebration at the end and the goal that these talented engineers would stay in the entrepreneurial community and make a lasting impact on Atlanta
    • As for costs, assume there’s room for 20 people per year, so $700,000 in direct salary cost plus a few hundred grand to run the program, for a total of $1 million per year. Add it a second cohort since there would be two running at any given time and you’d need an annual budget of $1.7 million

    The Tech100 would add 20 new talented people to the Atlanta startup community each year, who would then become many of Atlanta’s future technical and entrepreneurial leaders.

    What else? What are your thoughts on the Tech100?

  • What does the Atlanta startup community need most?

    Within the past month, three different local Atlanta groups brought up the question, “What does the Atlanta startup community need most?” Now, I don’t have the answer, but I’ve heard a number of suggestions.

    Here are a few ideas that were brought up for the Atlanta startup community:

    • More Risk Capital – Additional idea and seed stage capital to address the earliest and riskiest startup stages
    • More Growth Capital – Additional growth capital for local startups that have already de-risked most of the equation, have north of $5 million in recurring revenue, and have a shot at being a home run (growth capital is already readily available since it is so mobile, but the challenge now is that most of the value created from big wins goes to investors in other parts of the country)
    • More Modern Entrepreneur Training – Too many programs are geared towards traditional ways of thinking about entrepreneurship including business plan writing and getting ready to raise money without having customer proof points — there’s a need for lean startup, customer discovery, and business model canvas training
    • Major Annual Tech Startup Conference – Similar to SXSW in Austin, the idea is to bring together a number of events into a packed week and draw attendees from around the country
    • More Community Coordination – With all the organizations and events in town, there’s overlap and competing agendas, which is to be expected, leading to some desire to more centrally coordinate things

    If I had to pick one, I’d choose more modern entrepreneur training. With more modern entrepreneur training, there will be more lean startups, which will result in more compelling startups, which will result in more success stories. More successful startups is what Atlanta needs most.

    What else? What are your thoughts on these ideas for the Atlanta startup community as well as other ideas?

  • 8 Ideas Every Startup Person Should Know

    There’s a great Quora post from entrepreneur Mike Sellers in response to the question As first time entrepreneurs, what part of the process are people often completely blind to? His core response is so concise and complete, I had to repeat it here as 8 ideas every startup person should know:

    1. An idea is not a design
    2. A design is not a prototype
    3. A prototype is not a program
    4. A program is not a product
    5. A product is not a business
    6. A business is not profits
    7. Profits are not an exit
    8. And an exit is not happiness.

    The next time someone asks me what they should know if they want to get involved with startups I’ll send them straight to Mike Sellers’ answer.

    What else? What do you think of the 8 ideas every startup person should know?

  • Lessons Learned from Shotput Ventures

    With the launch of the Atlanta Ventures Accelerator, one of the questions I’ve received is what did we learn from Shotput Ventures that we’re going to do differently this time. As a quick back story, Shotput Ventures was launched at the beginning of 2009 as a Y Combinator clone in Atlanta. We invested in nine companies, had one great exit, and learned a ton.

    Here are a few takeaways from Shotput Ventures:

    • Startups with strong technical co-founders made the most progress during the three month program (as expected)
    • Non-technical co-founders that were relentlessly resourceful made much stronger contributions to their company (some business co-founders didn’t feel they could contribute since they didn’t code, which is patently false)
    • Most teams didn’t launch a minimum viable product soon enough and had little to show come demo day
    • Lack of a shared office hurt the camaraderie aspect of the program (most people worked out of their apartments and came in for Wednesday night dinners)
    • Mentoring and coaching from the community was great and exceeded expectations

    Overall, Shotput Ventures was a good learning experience but didn’t have the desired impact on Atlanta. Now, with the Atlanta Ventures Accelerator, we’re going to use what we learned and make a serious impact on Atlanta.

    What else? What were some other observations or lessons learned from Shotput Ventures?

  • The New Atlanta Ventures Accelerator

    Today, we launched the new Atlanta Ventures Accelerator for prototype-stage startups (great ABC coverage). As part of the program, startups receive a $20,000 investment from Atlanta Ventures and a $100,000 convertible note from the BIP Early Stage Fund. Our goal is to help coach and mentor the startups to then raise a $500,000 seed round after the program.

    Here are a few details on the Atlanta Ventures Accelerator:

    • Two or more co-founders are required with an in-house technical person or a technical person identified that will join at the start of the program
    • Rolling admission and not cohort based (we don’t do cohorts since we want to be flexible to the timing needs of startups and we have the Atlanta Tech Village education programs, mentors, and speakers)
    • Focus is on helping startups find product / market fit and complete stage 1 of the startup process, followed by raising a seed round of financing
    • Instant community comes from the Village and the 100+ other startups
    • Office space during the program is included at the Village

    With the new Atlanta Ventures Accelerator, we’re working hard to help grow and nurture more successful tech startups in Atlanta. Please apply today.

    What else? What are your thoughts on the new Atlanta Ventures Accelerator?

  • You Can’t Steer a Car That’s Not Moving

    Recently I was at a conference and the speaker was talking about a dead brand that he worked on reviving. At the beginning of the talk he used a phrase that really stood out to me: you can’t steer a car that’s not moving. This is especially applicable to potential entrepreneurs that have an idea and do nothing about it.

    I was reminded of this a couple days ago via Jeff Hilimire’s blog post titled Wantrepreneurs – begin the begin where he says, “…you have to get started or you’ll never get started!” Should everyone that’s thinking about being an entrepreneur be an entrepreneur? No. Should everyone that’s serious about being an entrepreneur get started? Absolutely. One of the best ways to get started as an entrepreneur is to do the eBay flip.

    The next time you hear someone talking about an entrepreneurial idea without doing anything, tell them you can’t steer a car that’s not moving.

    What else? What are some other phrases like “begin the begin” and “you can’t steer a car that’s not moving” to describe the need for entrepreneurs to get started?

  • Startup Review: Springbot

    Earlier today Springbot, a local Atlanta startup, announced a $3 million Series A round of funding from TechOperators and TTV. After going through the Flashpoint program at Georgia Tech, Springbot settled in on their current business model: marketing automation for small and medium sized ecommerce companies. Coming from the marketing automation world for B2B marketers, this is a great business idea and there’s a real need in the market.

    Here are a few thoughts on Springbot:

    • Ecommerce is a great market to go after, especially the Magento community with 150,000+ online stores
    • Being able to show true return on investment from the software in a timely manner is a beautiful thing (painkiller and not a vitamin)
    • Getting structured data out of an ecommerce system won’t be hard; getting clients to write content to do email blasts and social media will be very hard
    • Productized services will be an important component to get clients up and running quickly and successfully
    • Repeatably acquiring customers at scale in a cost-effective manner is going to be the number one challenge for the business

    Overall, I’m really excited about Springbot and want to see them be another major success in the Atlanta marketing software cluster.

    What else? What are your thoughts on Springbot?