Category: Operations

  • Enterprise Software Public Company SaaS Valuations for Q2 2014

    Once a year I like to inventory the public company SaaS valuations (see 20132012 and 2010). Earlier this year SaaS valuations shot up a good bit, but have subsequently come back down over these past few weeks. We’ve also had several SaaS companies acquired over the past year including ExactTarget, Eloqua, and Responsys as well as new IPOs like Cvent and ChannelAdvisor.

    • salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) – customer relationship management SaaS company.
      Market cap: $30.86 billion
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $1,145 million
      Employees: 13,300
    • NetSuite (NYSE:N) – enterprise resource planning (accounting, inventory, etc) SaaS company.
      Market cap: $5.53 billion
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $122.96 million
      Employees:  2,434
    • Constant Contact (NASDAQ:CTCT) – email marketing for small business SaaS company.
      Market cap: $874.21 million
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $78.87 million
      Employees: 1,235
    • LogMeIn (NASDAQ:LOGM) – remote machine access SaaS company.
      Market cap: $981.18 million
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $49.02 million
      Employees: 675
    • LivePerson (NASDAQ:LPSN) – live chat SaaS company.
      Market cap: $506.71 million
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $47.83 million
      Employees: 796
    • Demandware (NYSE:DWRE) – ecommerce SaaS company.
      Market cap: $1.69 billion
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $35.54 million
      Employees:  383
    • Marketo (NASDAQ:MKTO) – marketing automation SaaS company.
      Market cap: $950.39 million
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $32.29 million
      Employees: 519
    • ServiceNow (NYSE:NOW) – IT asset management SaaS company.
      Market cap: $6.66 billion
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $139.09 million
      Employees: 1,830
    • Workday (NYSE:WDAY) – HR and financial management SaaS company.
      Market cap: $12.48 billion
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $141.87 million
      Employees: 2,600
    • Cvent (NYSE:CVT) – Events management SaaS company.
      Market cap: $990.58 million
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $30.70 million
      Employees: 1,450
    • ChannelAdvisor (NYSE:ECOM) – Ecommerce channel management SaaS company.
      Market cap: $542.43 million
      Last reported quarter’s revenues: $19.34 million
      Employees: 216

    Valuation wise, the two biggest movers were Constant Contact and Demandware doubling in value over the past 12 months. SaaS/cloud computing companies continue to command larger valuations relative to other technology companies.

    What else? What are some other observations on public company SaaS valuations?

  • Sales Development Team: Most Important Sales Process Innovation in 10 Years

    Kyle Porter shared Craig Rosenberg’s great new post The Sales Development Team: A Proven Framework for Success. Sales development became popular after Predictable Revenue hit the startup circuit a couple years ago. Now that I’ve seen sales development teams in action at several companies, I believe it’s the most important sales process innovation in the last 10 years.

    Here are the headlines from the sales development team article:

    The Case for Sales Development

    1. Connecting with prospects requires time and resources
    2. A fast, standardized lead follow-up process is the key to conversion
    3. Converting a lead to an opportunity requires its own playbook and subsequent training and coaching
    4. Sales Development means a higher lead to opportunity conversion
    5. Marketing and contact data is vastly improved with sales development
    6. Sales and marketing alignment
    7. Increased productivity and efficiency from quota-carrying sales reps = more revenue
    8. Your buyer wants you to follow-up

    Designing the Sales Development Organization

    • The importance of the qualified lead definition
    • Sales development organizational design
    • SDR compensation
    • Training, onboarding, and coaching
    • Sales development hiring
    • Sales development metrics
    • Sales development technology

    I’d recommend heading on over and reading The Sales Development Team: A Proven Framework for Success. Sales and the sales process is much more scientific than ever before, and with sales development teams it becomes even more predictable.

    What else? What are some other thoughts on sales development teams?

  • 5 Things Entrepreneurs Should Do Every Month

    Over time, I’ve found that having a rhythm and process actually makes things easier. Similar to the old adage that it’s important to set aside aside time for thinking and personal reflecting, I also believe it’s important to set aside time to work on the business.

    Here are five things entrepreneurs should do every month:

    1. Review and update the Simplified One Page Strategic Plan
    2. Walk through the key metrics in the SaaS Metrics dashboard
    3. Facilitate a monthly strategic dinner or meeting with the senior team (most important once the startup has at least 15 people)
    4. Meet with one advisor or mentor and walk through the most important issues at hand
    5. Attend an EO/YPO forum with a group of like-minded peers

    Entrepreneurs would do well to find a monthly rhythm that empowers more strategic thinking and analysis. After running the process for several months it’ll begin to feel like a habit and commonplace.

    What else? What are some other things entrepreneurs should do every month?

  • SaaS Company Valuations Will be Cut in Half

    Earlier today Jason Lemkin tweeted that a 50-70% correction is coming to Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies:

    I agree.

    Last week Fred Wilson wrote a post The Bubble Question about it where he attributes overvalued tech stocks to interest rates near zero and the desire for growth companies.

    Today, many SaaS companies are trading at 10-12x trailing twelve months revenue, and have no profits. So, why do I think they’re 50% overvalued? Easy. SaaS companies typically spend 40-60% of revenues on sales and marketing to acquire customers (growth is incredibly important). Assuming these sales and marketing costs could be pared back relatively quickly, the theory goes that these companies would quickly achieve 30-40% profit margins.

    The average historical price to earnings (PE) ratio is around 15 for a public company. That is, the company is worth roughly 15x profits (right now the average PE ratio is almost 20).

    If a public company is worth 15x profits, and a SaaS company can quickly achieve 33% profit margins, that results in the same valuation as 5x revenues (15*.33 = 5). 5x revenues is half of the 10x revenues many SaaS companies are trading at now, thus long term, the valuations should be cut in half.

    Of course, this is simplistic in that it isn’t accounting for growth rates, gross margins, renewal rates, total addressable market, premiums for a public company over a private company, etc. But, as an example, if a company is valued based on a function of its future profits, and SaaS companies can become extremely profitable due to the nature of the business model, making a guess as to profit margins results in a straightforward valuation.

    What else? What are your thoughts on SaaS company valuations being cut in half?

  • Metrics Tracking Based on Startup Scale

    Startups, on average, don’t track enough relevant metrics on a regular basis. Some engineering-led startups are very analytical and track so many metrics that it’s difficult to know what’s important. Overall, it’s important to align quantity of metrics with the scale of the startup.

    Here are a few ideas on metrics tracking based on startup scale:

    • Always measure cash on hand and cash burn (if applicable), regardless of scale
    • Based on the four stages of a startup, increase the number of metrics tracked at each stage
    • Operational metrics become much more important once product / market fit has been achieved (see assessing fit) and the focus turns to building a repeatable customer acquisition machine
    • Managers and department heads should have 2-3 main metrics shared with the whole company and many more tracked internally (so, as you add managers, add metrics)

    Here’s an example set of metrics to track on a weekly or monthly basis after product / market fit:

    Overall

    • Annual recurring revenue
    • Cash on hand (or months of runway)

    Sales

    • New annual recurring revenue (ARR)
    • 30-day weighted pipeline

    Marketing

    • Marketing qualified leads (MQLs)
    • MQL opportunity value

    Support

    • New tickets
    • Closed tickets

    Product

    • Net promoter score
    • Net churn ARR

    Engineering

    • Sprint completion %
    • New bugs

    As a startup grows and matures, so should the number of metrics tracked.

    What else? What are some other thoughts on metrics tracking based on startup scale?

  • Getting to Entrepreneurial Freedom – Break Even with a Personal Salary

    Continuing with the previous post titled Entrepreneurs on Annual Revenue Goals, the clear next step is talking about controlling your own destiny. For almost all entrepreneurs, one of the biggest milestones on the startup roller coaster is achieving entrepreneurial freedom: financial break even in the business while also paying a salary that covers personal expenses and obligations. With a self-sustaining business and a self-sustaining personal lifestyle, stress and financial pressures are relieved.

    Here are a few thoughts on getting to entrepreneurial freedom:

    • Keep the team lean and focus on customer acquisition (see Simplifying it Down to Selling or Building)
    • Remember to keep the seed round small to minimize dilution and maximize ownership (see Death to the $700k Seed Round)
    • Ignore the desire to raise VC money for idea validation and instead build a great business that can raise money on its own terms (or never raise money)
    • Never forget the four stages of a B2B startup (e.g. don’t start investing in one stage when the previous stage isn’t fully developed)

    Whether bootstrapping the business or enlisting the help of investors, one of the most liberating moments is growing the business to the point that it can exist indefinitely on its own. While not easy, achieving entrepreneurial freedom is well worth the challenge.

    What else? What are some other thoughts on getting to entrepreneurial freedom?

  • Entrepreneurs on Annual Revenue Goals

    Entrepreneurs are an optimistic bunch. When talking about revenue goals for the year, the most common approach is to pick numbers that feel reasonable and idealistic while also fitting into a spreadsheet narrative. Of course, it’s extremely difficult to estimate revenue without a repeatable customer acquisition process in place for a year. Why? For the most accurate revenue forecasting, a bottom-up financial model is superior to educated guessing.

    Here are a few thoughts on annual revenue goals:

    • Consider number of sales people, length of sales rep ramp up time, ratio of sales reps that work out to ones that don’t work out, number of leads required per sales rep, and more (hence the need to have operating history with reliable data for each category)
    • Analyze key metrics like cost of customer acquisition, gross margin, lifetime value of the customer, annual renewal rate, annual up-sell rate, and more to make sure that the numbers in the plan are inline or below industry averages (they should be worse than industry averages because economies of scale haven’t kicked in yet)
    • Without operating history from a repeatable customer acquisition process, take whatever data that’s available and conservatively extrapolate it out into a plan (this is where optimism combines with rose colored glasses)
    • Pardot’s revenues, previously published for magazine and newspaper awards, were as follows:
      Year 1 – ~$3,000
      Year 2 – ~$400,000
      Year 3 – ~$1,200,000
      Year 4 – ~$3,200,000
      Pardot isn’t the norm and that was the revenue growth with an amazing team, product, and market.

    Naturally, entrepreneurs are going to be optimistic thinking through annual revenue goals, but it’s important to use data and make them realistic. Growing revenue is always much more difficult than it appears on a spreadsheet.

    What else? What are some other thoughts on entrepreneurs and annual revenue goals?

  • The Unusual Relationship Between Revenue and Valuation Over Time

    People love to think of a startup’s valuation as readily determinable by a valuation expert based on agreed upon financial formulas. In reality, a startup is only worth what an acquirer is willing to pay. This is true because equity in a startup is an illiquid security that is very difficult to turn into cash, especially in a reasonable amount of time. Of course, valuations are set all the time based on things like public market comparables, multiples of profit (a typical company is worth 4-6x profit), combination of growth rate plus revenue, and other factors.

    For startups, there’s an even a more unusual relationship between revenue and valuation over time as there’s no-to-little operating history, no-to-little revenue, and no profits. Here are a few data points over time:

    • Month 1 – With a fresh idea and unlimited potential, the startup is actually worth more than when it starts to generate early revenue (e.g. valuation of $2M pre-money for an angel investor)
    • $50,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR) – With a few paying customers and some product / market fit, investors will begin digging into the start of a financial model, and since there’s some revenue, will start talking about multiples of revenue or annual run rate (e.g. valuation of $1.5M pre-money even though the company is clearly further along than month one yet the valuation isn’t better)
    • $1,000,000 in ARR – With the magical seven figures market crossed, a whole new class of investors emerge (many VCs won’t invest unless the startup has at least a million in recurring revenue), valuations are discussed as multiples of revenue (e.g. a valuation of $5M pre-money based on 5x run rate)
    • $5,000,000 in ARR – With an even more substantial base of revenue, product / market fit clearly in place, and market adoption risk negated, the revenue multiple starts to expand, especially with a high growth rate (e.g. a valuation of $35M pre-money based on 7x run rate)

    So, valuation stays flat or even goes down from the initial formation of the company though the first or second year. Then, as revenue starts to grow, valuation grows at an even greater rate and really expands at a few different inflection points. Today, Software-as-a-Service is super hot and the market leaders are often trading at 13x revenue, which isn’t sustainable, but is the current state of affairs. Revenues and valuation don’t have a straight relationship over time.

    What else? What are some other thoughts about the unusual relationship between revenue and valuation over time?

  • What do National Lampoon’s Christmas Vacation and Netflix have in common about annual bonuses?

    With the ring of a doorbell on Christmas Eve, Clark Griswold (played by Chevy Chase) eagerly rushes to the door in anticipation of his annual company bonus check. Only, after opening the envelope, he quickly reads that there’s no bonus, and, instead he’s receiving an annual supply of jelly. Yes, jelly. Then, to the 10+ family members gathered around, he announces that he’s received a Christmas bonus for 17 straight years and is devastated to not have one.

    This scene from National Lampoon’s Christmas Vacation captures the number one problem with annual corporate bonuses: people view the bonus as part of their standard compensation and don’t see it as a bonus. If you take away the bonus, it seriously hurts morale. If the bonus is given out, people don’t think anything of it. If you make the bonus tied to individual performance, people naturally game the system to their best interests. If you tie the bonus to company performance, people don’t feel they have much control over it.

    Harvard Business Review has an article in their most recent issue titled How Netflix Reinvented HR where the author, Patty McCord, former head of HR at Netflix, talks about corporate bonuses. McCord writes:

    During my tenure Netflix didn’t pay performance bonuses, because we believed that they’re unnecessary if you hire the right people. If your employees are fully formed adults who put the company first, an annual bonus won’t make them work harder or smarter.

    McCord nails it perfectly. Bonuses don’t do what they’re intended to do and are perpetuated because that’s how it’s always been done.

    What’s the solution if you do away with annual bonuses? Pay competitive, market-rate salaries as short-term compensation and include equity or stock options as long-term compensation.

    What else? What are your thoughts on the idea that companies shouldn’t do annual bonuses?

  • Credit Lines for Software-as-a-Service Startups

    Now that Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) is mainstream and seemingly billion dollar acquisitions occur on a monthly basis (see Responsys to be acquired by Oracle for $1.5 billion from last week), it’s important to discuss the line of credit options available for these types of businesses. See, most entrepreneurs won’t qualify for a line of credit unless they have personal assets to guarantee the loan (e.g. if you want to borrow $100,000 be prepared to have $80,000 in deposits, real estate, etc. to put up as collateral). SaaS, due to recurring revenue, high gross margin, and the predictable nature of the model makes for a unique business that’s well suited to loaning money based on recurring revenue (even absent free cash flow).

    Here are a few thoughts on credit lines for SaaS startups:

    • Credit lines are often based on a multiple of monthly recurring revenue (e.g. 3x) and annualized renewal rate (e.g. 80%) — an example is doing $500k/month in recurring revenue ($6 million annual run rate) with an 80% renewal rate results in a line of credit of $1.5 million * .8 = $1.2 million
    • Covenants are always required, typically around customer renewal rates (e.g. 70%+ annually), growth rates (20%+ annually), gross margins (70%+), and cash collected over the past 90 days (70% of the line of credit)
    • Banks and other lenders want some level of scale to do a deal (e.g. must qualify for at least a $500,000 line of credit as they don’t want to do smaller lines due to the lender’s business model)
    • Square 1 Bank and Silicon Valley Bank both have great programs for SaaS companies
    • Firms like SaaS Capital are emerging that offer smaller lines of credit as well as lines that aren’t as restricted as banks (but have a correspondingly higher interest rate)

    Pardot was a major beneficiary of a credit line from Silicon Valley Bank and it allowed us to significantly invest ahead of growth. Once a SaaS startup achieves enough scale to qualify for a line of credit, it’s one of the best ways to finance the business.

    What else? What are some other thoughts on credit lines for Software-as-a-Service startups?